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Publication
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| Title of Article |
Distributions of Alien Invasive Weeds under Climate Change Scenarios in Mountainous Bhutan |
| Date of Acceptance |
9 August 2019 |
| Journal |
| Title of Journal |
Agronomy |
| Standard |
ISI |
| Institute of Journal |
MDPI AG (Basel, Switzerland) |
| ISBN/ISSN |
2073-4395 |
| Volume |
9 |
| Issue |
8 |
| Month |
August |
| Year of Publication |
2019 |
| Page |
442 |
| Abstract |
Climate change is viewed as a cause in accelerating the rate of invasion by alien species
in addition to the globalization of anthropogenic activities. Ecological niche modeling has become
an instrument in predicting invasion from natural or invaded ranges to uninvaded ranges based on
the presence records of organisms and environmental parameters. This study explored the changes
in the distributions of globally noxious alien species (Aegratina adenophora, Ageratum conyzoides,
Chromolaena odorata, Lantana camara, Mikania micrantha, and Parthenium hysterophorus) in Bhutan,
to provide evidence that even a mountain environment is under the threat of invasion given the
change in climatic conditions. With fairly high accuracy, the model results suggest that there will be a
potential increase in the areas of invasion among most of the species, except Parthenium hysterophorus,
which will experience a northerly shift and decline in distribution. The results also indicate changes
in patterns of invasion, some becoming more concentrated toward a given direction, while others
become more dispersed over time. This study provides a framework that can be used in the strategic
control of the species, future detection surveys, and further research. |
| Keyword |
climate change; directional distributions; ecological niche modelling; Maxent; predicted invasion; partial area under curve |
| Author |
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| Reviewing Status |
ไม่มีผู้ประเมินอิสระ |
| Status |
ตีพิมพ์แล้ว |
| Level of Publication |
นานาชาติ |
| citation |
true |
| Part of thesis |
true |
| Attach file |
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| Citation |
0
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Journal Publication
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